Abstract
Structured linear regression provides a flexible framework for modeling vector-,
matrix-, or tensor-valued covariates, while valid and efficient inference for linear functionals
of the structured parameter remains challenging, especially under correlated designs, since
the optimal inferential direction depends not only on the ambient linear model but also on
the local geometry of the parameter space. To address these issues, we propose a general
debiasing framework for inference by covariance-weighted projection over local low-rank geometry. Based on this construction, oracle and feasible one-step estimators are developed
with asymptotic normality and valid Wald inference. In particular, the proposed method
achieves a smaller asymptotic variance than competing approaches without covariance adjustment, the resulting confidence intervals attain a local geometric minimax lower bound,
enabling more efficient statistical inference. We further specialize the general framework to
low-rank Tucker regression under mode-wise Kronecker covariance structures, where explicit
theory and feasible inference procedures are developed. Simulation studies and an application to resting-state EEG data illustrate favorable finite-sample performance.
Key words and phrases: Local low-rank geometry; Debiasing; Covariance-weighted projec- tion; Tucker tensor regression; Efficient inference 1
Information
| Preprint No. | SS-2026-0222 |
|---|---|
| Manuscript ID | SS-2026-0222 |
| Complete Authors | Baofang Ke, Zihao Song, Weihua Zhao, Lei Wang |
| Corresponding Authors | Lei Wang |
| Emails | lwangstat@nankai.edu.cn |
References
- Cai, T. T., T. Liang, and A. Rakhlin (2016). Geometric inference for general highdimensional linear inverse problems. The Annals of Statistics 44(4), 1536–1563.
- Cand`es, E. J. and B. Recht (2009). Exact matrix completion via convex optimization. Foundations of Computational Mathematics 9(6), 717–772.
- Cellier, D., J. Riddle, I. T. Petersen, and K. Hwang (2021). The development of theta and alpha neural oscillations from ages 3 to 24 years. Developmental Cognitive Neuroscience 50, 100969.
- Chen, Y., J. Fan, C. Ma, and Y. Yan (2019). Inference and uncertainty quantification for noisy matrix completion. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116(46), 22931–22937.
- Choi, J., H. Kwon, and Y. Liao (2024). Inference for low-rank completion without sample splitting with application to treatment effect estimation. Journal of Econometrics 240(1), 105682.
- De Lathauwer, L., B. De Moor, and J. Vandewalle (2000). A multilinear singular value decomposition. SIAM Journal on Matrix Analysis and Applications 21(4), 1253–1278.
- Dezeure, R., P. B¨uhlmann, L. Meier, and N. Meinshausen (2015). High-dimensional inference: Confidence intervals, p-values and R-software hdi. Statistical Science 30(4), 533–558.
- Hung, H. and Z.-Y. Jou (2019). A low rank-based estimation-testing procedure for matrix-covariate regression. Statistica Sinica 29(2), 1025–1046.
- Javanmard, A. and A. Montanari (2014). Confidence intervals and hypothesis testing for high-dimensional regression. Journal of Machine Learning Research 15(82), 2869–2909.
- Ke, B., W. Zhao, and L. Wang (2025). Statistical inference for matrix-vector linear regression without debiasing under kronecker covariance structure. Statistics and Computing 35(6), 201.
- Kolda, T. G. and B. W. Bader (2009). Tensor decompositions and applications. SIAM Review 51(3), 455–500.
- Koltchinskii, V., K. Lounici, and A. B. Tsybakov (2011). Nuclear-norm penalization and optimal rates for noisy low-rank matrix completion. The Annals of Statistics 39(5), 2302–2329.
- Kong, D., C.-H. Zhang, and J. Lv (2020). L2RM: Low-rank linear regression models for high-dimensional matrix responses. Journal of the American Statistical Association 115(529), 403–424.
- Koren, Y., R. Bell, and C. Volinsky (2009). Matrix factorization techniques for recommender systems. Computer 42(8), 30–37.
- Li, L. and X. Zhang (2017). Parsimonious tensor response regression. Journal of the American Statistical Association 112(519), 1131–1146.
- Li, X., D. Xu, H. Zhou, and L. Li (2018). Tucker tensor regression and neuroimaging analysis. Statistics in Biosciences 10(3), 520–545.
- Lock, E. F. (2018). Tensor-on-tensor regression. Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 27(3), 638–647.
- McSweeney, M., S. Morales, E. A. Valadez, G. A. Buzzell, L. Yoder, W. P. Fifer,
- N. Pini, L. C. Shuffrey, A. J. Elliott, J. R. Isler, and N. A. Fox (2023). Agerelated trends in aperiodic EEG activity and alpha oscillations during early- to middle-childhood. NeuroImage 269, 119925.
- Mørup, M., L. K. Hansen, C. S. Herrmann, J. Parnas, and S. M. Arnfred (2015). Tensor decomposition of EEG signals: A brief review. Journal of Neuroscience Methods 248, 59–69.
- Negahban, S. N. and M. J. Wainwright (2011). Estimation of (near) low-rank matrices with noise and high-dimensional scaling. The Annals of Statistics 39(2), 1069–1097.
- Ning, Y. and H. Liu (2017). A general theory of hypothesis tests and confidence regions for sparse high dimensional models. The Annals of Statistics 45(1), 158– 195.
- Petro, N. M., L. R. Ott, S. H. Penhale, M. P. Rempe, C. M. Embury, G. Picci,
- Y.-P. Wang, J. M. Stephen, V. D. Calhoun, and T. W. Wilson (2022). Eyes-closed versus eyes-open differences in spontaneous neural dynamics during development. NeuroImage 258, 119337.
- van de Geer, S., P. B¨uhlmann, Y. Ritov, and R. Dezeure (2014). On asymptotically optimal confidence regions and tests for high-dimensional models. The Annals of Statistics 42(3), 1166–1202.
- Wilkinson, C. L., L. D. Yankowitz, J. Y. Chao, R. Guti´errez, J. L. Rhoades, S. Shinnar, P. L. Purdon, and C. A. Nelson (2024). Developmental trajectories of EEG aperiodic and periodic components in children 2–44 months of age. Nature Communications 15(1), 5788.
- Xia, D. (2019). Confidence region of singular subspaces for low-rank matrix regression. IEEE Transactions on Information Theory 65(11), 7437–7459.
- Xia, D. and M. Yuan (2021). Statistical inferences of linear forms for noisy matrix completion. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology 83(1), 58–77.
- Xia, D., A. R. Zhang, and Y. Zhou (2022). Inference for low-rank tensors—no need to debias. The Annals of Statistics 50(2), 1220–1245.
- Xu, X., Y. Shen, Y. Chi, and C. Ma (2023). The power of preconditioning in overparameterized low-rank matrix sensing. In Proceedings of the 40th International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 38611–38654. PMLR.
- Zhang, A. R., Y. Luo, G. Raskutti, and M. Yuan (2020). ISLET: Fast and optimal low-rank tensor regression via importance sketching. SIAM Journal on Mathematics of Data Science 2(2), 444–479.
- Zhang, C.-H. and S. S. Zhang (2014). Confidence intervals for low dimensional parameters in high dimensional linear models. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology 76(1), 217–242.
- Zhou, H., L. Li, and H. Zhu (2013). Tensor regression with applications in neuroimaging data analysis. Journal of the American Statistical Association 108(502), 540–552. Baofang Ke
Acknowledgments
The authors are grateful to the anonymous referees, associate editor, and editor for
their helpful comments. Lei Wang’s research was supported by the National Natural
Science Foundation of China (12271272). The corresponding author is Lei Wang.
Supplementary Materials
It contains proofs of Propositions, Theorems and additional simulation results.