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Statistica Sinica 33 (2023), 453-474

COMPOUND SEQUENTIAL CHANGE-POINT
DETECTION IN PARALLEL DATA STREAMS

Yunxiao Chen and Xiaoou Li

London School of Economics and Political Science and University of Minnesota

Abstract: We consider sequential change-point detection in parallel data streams, where each stream has its own change point. Once a change is detected in a data stream, this stream is deactivated permanently. The goal is to maximize the normal operation of the pre-change streams, while controlling the proportion of the post-change streams among the active streams at all time points. Using a Bayesian formulation, we develop a compound decision framework for this problem. A procedure is proposed that is uniformly optimal among all sequential procedures that control the expected proportion of post-change streams at all time points. We also investigate the asymptotic behavior of the proposed method when the number of data streams grows large. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate the use and performance of the proposed method.

Key words and phrases: Change-point detection, compound decision, false non-discovery rate, large-scale inference, sequential analysis.

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