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Statistica Sinica 35 (2025), 225-247

EMPIRICAL PRIORS AND POSTERIOR CONCENTRATION
IN A PIECEWISE POLYNOMIAL SEQUENCE MODEL

Chang Liu1, Ryan Martin1 and Weining Shen*2

1North Carolina State University and 2University of California, Irvine

Abstract: Inference on high-dimensional parameters in structured linear models is an important statistical problem. Focusing on the case of a piecewise polynomial Gaussian sequence model, we develop a new empirical Bayes solution that enjoys adaptive minimax posterior concentration rates and improved structure learning properties than existing methods. Moreover, the conjugate form of the empirical prior means the posterior computations are fast and easy. Numerical examples highlight the method's strong finite-sample performance compared with that of existing methods in various scenarios.

Key words and phrases: Bayesian estimation, change-point detection, high dimensional inference, structure learning, trend filtering.

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