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Statistica Sinica 25 (2015),

OPTIMAL PREDICTION IN AN ADDITIVE
FUNCTIONAL MODEL
Xiao Wang and David Ruppert
Purdue University and Cornell University

Abstract: The functional generalized additive model (FGAM), also known as the continuous additive model (CAM), provides a more flexible functional regression model than the well-studied functional linear regression model. This paper restricts attention to the FGAM with identity link and additive errors, which we will call the additive functional model and is a generalization of the functional linear model. We study the minimax rate of convergence of predictions from the additive functional model in the framework of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. It is shown that the optimal rate is determined by the decay rate of the eigenvalues of a certain kernel function, which in turn is determined by the reproducing kernel and the joint distribution of any two points in the random predictor function. In the special case of the functional linear model, this kernel function is jointly determined by the covariance function of the predictor function and the reproducing kernel. The easily implementable roughness-regularized predictor is shown to achieve the optimal rate of convergence. Numerical studies are carried out to illustrate the merits of the predictor. Our simulations and real data examples demonstrate a competitive performance against the existing approach.

Key words and phrases: Functional regression, minimax rate of convergence, principal component analysis, reproducing kernel Hilbert space.

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