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Statistica Sinica 25 (2015),

EXPECTATION OF THE LIMITING DISTRIBUTION
OF THE LSE OF A UNIT ROOT PROCESS
Shi Jin and Wenbo V. Li
University of Delaware

Abstract: In this paper we prove a conjecture raised by Tanaka on the first moment of the limiting distribution of the least squares estimator (LSE) of the unit root I(d) process. The limiting random variable is a ratio of quadratic functionals of the d-fold integrated Brownian motion. Its expectation can be found by using Karhunen-Loéve expansion and a property of the eigenfunctions of its covariance kernel.

Key words and phrases: Discrete Fourier matrix, integrated Brownian motion, Karhunen-Loéve expansion, nonstationary time series, unit root.

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