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Statistica Sinica 34 (2024), 1765-1800

WEIGHTED NONLINEAR REGRESSION
WITH NONSTATIONARY TIME SERIES

Chunlei Jin and Qiying Wang*

The University of Sydney

Abstract: This study investigates a weighted least squares (WLS) estimation in a nonlinear cointegrating regression. In a nonlinear regression model, where the regressors include nearly integrated arrays and stationary processes, we show that the WLS estimator has a mixed Gaussian limit, and the corresponding Studentized statistic converges to a standard normal distribution. The WLS estimator is free of the memory parameter, even when a fractional process is included in the regressors. We also consider an ordinary least squares estimation in a nonlinear cointegrating regression. Compared with the WLS estimator, the limit distribution of the ordinary least squares estimator is non-Gaussian, and depends on the nuisance parameters from the regressors when the regression function is non-integrable.

Key words and phrases: A mixture of normal distributions, cointegration, nonlinear cointegrating regression, nonstationarity, weighted least squares estimation.

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