Statistica Sinica 27 (2017), 389-413
Abstract: The Akaike Information Criterion, which is based on maximum likelihood
estimation and cannot be applied directly to the situations when likelihood
functions are not available, has been modified for variable selection in longitudinal
data with generalized estimating equations via a working independence model.
This paper proposes another modification to AIC, the difference between the quasilikelihood
functions of a candidate model and of a narrow model plus a penalty term.
Such a difference avoids calculating complex integration from quasi-likelihood, but
inherits theoretical asymptotic properties from AIC. We also propose a focused information
criterion for variable selection on the basis of the quasi-score function.
Further, this paper develops a frequentist model average estimator for longitudinal
data with generalized estimating equations. Simulation studies provide evidence of
the superiority of the proposed procedures. The procedures are further applied to
a data example.
Key words and phrases: FIC, local misspecification, marginal likelihood, model averaging, QIC, quasi-likelihood, working independence.