Sunday, July 6
7:00 p.m. WELCOME PARTY AC Lecture Hall
Monday, July 7
7:15 a.m. REGISTRATION AC 1st FL Hall
8:15 a.m. OPEN SESSION AC 1st FL Auditorium
10:00 a.m TEA BREAK AC Lecture Hall
*10:30 a.m.-12:15 p.m. AC 1st FL Auditorium
IMS SPECIAL INVITED LECTURE:
Chair: JYH-JEN HORNG SHIAU, National Chiao Tung Univ., Taiwan
(10:30) Modern Advances in Classification, TREVOR HASTIE, Statistics Department, Stanford Univ.
(11:20) Discussant: PHILIP CHENG, Department of Applied Mathematics,
National Donghwa Univ., and Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica,
Taiwan
(11:40) Floor Discussion
12:15 p.m.-1:45 p.m. LUNCH TIME AC Lecture Hall
1. 1:45 p.m.-3:30 p.m. ES 2nd FL Conference RM
APPLIED PROBABILITY I -CIPS and CSA Invited Paper Session
Organizer: JAMES C. FU, Univ. of Manitoba and National Donghwa Univ., Taiwan
Chair: YI-CHING YAO, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(1:45) Characterizations Based on Conditional Expectations, JYH-CHERNG SU and
WEN-JANG HUANG, Department of Applied Mathematics, National Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Taiwan
(2:15) A New Statistical Measure for Evaluating Stock Investment Portfolios, HUBERT J. CHEN and XIN YU, Department of Statistics, Univ. of Georgia
(2:45) A Compound Poisson Convergence Theorem for Sums of Random Variables Defined on a Finite Markov Chain, Y. H. WANG, Statistics Department, Tunghai Univ., Taiwan and LINGQI TANG, Statistics Department, Univ. of Manitoba, Canada
(3:15) Discussion
2. 1:45 p.m.-3:30 p.m. AC Conference RM 1
CURVE DATA ANALYSIS -IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer/Chair: PRABIR BURMAN, Univ. of California at Davis
(1:45) Some Semiparametric and Nonparametric Approaches to Analyze Functional Data, ALOIS KNEIP, Institut de Statistique, Universit'e catholique de Louvain, Belgium
(2:15) High-Dimensional ANOVA with Applications to Comparing Multiple Sets of
Curves, JIANQING FAN, Department of Statistics, Univ. of North Carolina at
Chapel Hill, and Chinese Univ. of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
(2:45) Statistical Measures for Curve Data Analysis, HANS-GEORG MULLER,
Division of Statistics, Univ. of California at Davis
(3:15) Discussion
3. 1:45 p.m.-3:30 p.m. AC Conference RM 3
GENERALIZED LINEAR MODELS AND QUASI-LIKELIHOOD METHODS -Contributed Paper Session
Chair: WUN-YI SHU, National Tsing-Hua Univ., Taiwan
(1:45) Detecting Overdispersion in Data with Censoring, HSING-YI CHANG, Graduate Institute of Public Health, Kaohsiung Medical College, Taiwan, and
CHIRAYATH M. SUCHINDRAN, Department of Biostatistics, Univ. of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
(2:05) Estimating Equations for Removal Data Analysis, YOU-GAN WANG,
CSIRO Mathematical and Information Sciences, Australia
(2:25) Finite Mixture Generalized Linear Model with Repeated Measurements
Using GIBBS Sampling and EM Algorithms, CHIH-CHIEN YANG and BENGT O. MUTHEN, Department of Education, Univ. of California at Los Angeles
(2:45) Linear Regression with Interval Censored Data, GANG LI, ACER/Excel Inc. and CUN-HUI ZHANG, Department of Statistics, Rutgers University
(3:05) Discussion
4. 1:45 p.m.-3:30 p.m. AC Conference RM 2
LIFETIME DATA ANALYSIS-Contributed Paper Session
Chair: FAN-CHIN MENG, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(1:45) Dual Structures for Failure and Degradation Data, G. A. WHITMORE,
Faculty of Management, McGill Univ., Canada
(2:05) A Test for ``New Better Than Used Since Time , BING-YI JING, Department of Mathematics, Hong Kong Univ. of Science and Technology, and ZE-HUI LI, Univ. of Lanzhou
(2:25) Bayesian Nonparametric Inference for Nonhomogeneous Poisson Processes,
LYNN KUO, Statistics Department, Univ. of Connecticut, and SUJIT GHOSH,
Statistics Department, North Carolina State Univ. at Raleigh
(2:45) TBA
(3:05) Discussion
5. 1:45 p.m.-3:30 p.m. ES 3rd FL Conference RM
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN MULTIVARIATE STATISTICS -CIPS and CSA Invited Paper Session
Organizer/Chair: GRACE S. SHIEH, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(1:45) Nonparametric Regression and Mode Estimation, ZHIDONG BAI, Department of Applied Mathematics, National Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Taiwan
(2:15) Factor Analysis for Multiple Time Series, YU-PIN HU and ROUH-JANE CHOU, Institute of Statistics, National Tsing-Hua Univ., Taiwan
(2:45) Assessment of Local Influence for Restricted Likelihood in Multivariate
Models, W. K. FUNG and C. W. KWAN, Department of Statistics, Univ. of Hong
Kong, Hong Kong
(3:15) Discussion
3:30 p.m.-4:00 p.m. TEA BREAK AC Lecture Hall
6. 4:00 p.m.-5:45 p.m. AC Conference RM 3
BAYESIAN METHODS AND APPLICATIONS -Contributed Paper Session
Chair: MING-CHUNG YANG, National Central Univ., Taiwan
(4:00) Bayesian Design for a Series of Pilot Trials of New Agents, TZY JYUN YAO, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, New York
(4:20) Bayesian Analysis for the Exponential Regression Model with Change-point, LI-SHYA CHEN, Department of Statistics, National Chengchi Univ., Taiwan
(4:40) Bayesian Unit Root Testing in Stochastic Volatility Model, MIKE K. P. SO, Department of Information and Systems Management, School of Business and Management,the Hong Kong Univ. of Science and Technology, and W. K. LI, Statistics Department, The Univ. of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
(5:00) TBA
(5:20) Discussion
7. 4:00 p.m.-5:45 p.m. AC Conference RM 2
ENVIRONMENTAL AND INDUSTRIAL APPLICATIONS -Contributed Paper Session
Chair: Tian-Tzer Jeng, National Chengchi Univ., Taiwan
(4:00) The Analysis and Comparisons of the Air Qualities in Taipei and Kaohsiung Metropolitan Areas, MONG-NA L. HUANG and YING-YING LEE, Department of Applied Mathematics, National Sun Yat-sen Univ., Taiwan and PEN-CHI CHIANG,
Institute of Environmental Engineering, National Taiwan Univ., Taiwan
(4:20) A New Class of Multiresponse Design Criteria and Its Application, SHU YAMADA, Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Technology, Japan
(4:40) How to Determine the Number of Sacrificed Mice in Censored Toxicological
Research, MICHIA MA, Department of Statistics, National Cheng-Kung Univ.,
Taiwan
(5:00) Statistical Methods for Developmental Neurotoxicity Risk Assessment,
MEHDI RAZZAGHI, Institute for Environmental and Toxicological Statistics,
Bloomsburg Univ., Pennsylvania
(5:20) Discussion
8. 4:00 p.m.-5:45 p.m. ES 2nd FL Conference RM
INDUSTRIAL STATISTICS I -CIPS and CSA Invited Paper Session
Organizer: MIN-TE CHAO, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
Chair: JEH-NAN PAN, National Cheng-Kung Univ., Taiwan
(4:00) Recent Advances in Dual Response Systems, DENNIS K. J. LIN, Department of Management Science and Information Systems, Penn State Univ.
(4:30) Nonparametric Inference with Bivariate Truncated/Censored Data,
ULKU GURLER, Department of Industrial Engineering, Bilkent Univ., Turkey
(5:00) Accelerated Degradation Test: Modeling and Analysis, WILLIAM Q. MEEKER, Statistics Department, Iowa State Univ., LUIS A. ESCOBAR, Statistics Department, Louisiana State Univ., and C. JOSEPH LU, Department of Statistics, National Cheng-Kung Univ., Taiwan
(5:30) Disscussion
9. 4:00 p.m.-5:45 p.m. AC Conference RM 1
INTERFACE: SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND STATISTICS -IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer: JANE-LING WANG, Univ. of California at Davis
Chair: CHRISTIANA M. DRAKE, Univ. of California at Davis
(4:00) Nerve Impulses and Absorbing Markov Chains, GRACE L. YANG, Department of Mathematics, Univ. of Maryland at College Park
(4:30) Wavelets and Field Forecast Verification, RICHARD A. LEVINE, Division of Statistics, Univ. of California at Davis and National Center of Atmospheric Research
(5:00)Panel Discussion: KUNG-YEE LIANG, Department of biostatistics,
Johns Hopkins Univ., KENNETH W. WACHTER, Department of Statistics,
Univ. of California, Berkeley, WING-HUNG WONG, Interdivisional
Program in Statistics, Univ. of California at Los Angeles
10. 4:00 p.m.-5:45 p.m. ES 3rd FL Conference RM
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES AND EQUATIONS -CIPS and CSA Invited Paper Session
Organizer: TA-FENG LIN, Soochow Univ., Taiwan
Chair: NARN-RUEIH SHIEH, National Taiwan Univ., Taiwan
(4:00) Recent Topics in the Theory of Interacting Diffusions, TOKUZO SHIGA, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Japan
(4:30) Large Deviations of Diffusion Processes and Occupation Times with Discontinuous Drift, T. S. CHIANG and S. J. SHEU, Institute of Mathematics, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(5:00) Approximation of Arbitrary Hunt Processes by Markov Chains, ZHI-MING MA, Institute of Applied Mathematics, Academia Sinica, Beijing
(5:30) Discussion
Tuesday, July 8
11. 8:15 a.m.-10:00 a.m. ES 2nd FL Conference RM
APPLIED PROBABILITY II -CIPS and CSA Invited Paper Session
Organizer: JAMES C. FU, Univ. of Manitoba and National Donghwa Univ., Taiwan
Chair: CHERN-CHING CHAO, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(8:15) Distribution Theory of Runs and Patterns and Its Applications, JAMES C. FU, National Donghwa Univ., Taiwan and W. Y. WENDY LOU, Department of Biomathematical Sciences, Mount Sinai School of Medicine, CUNY
(8:45) On The Theory of Runs with an Application to Biological Sequence Homology, W. Y. WENDY LOU, Department of Biomathematical Sciences, Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York
(9:15) A Measure of DNA Sequence Dissimilarity Based on Mahalanobis Distance
between Frequencies of Words, TIEE-JIAN WU, Department of Mathematics,
Univ. of Houston, Department of Applied Mathematics, National Donghwa
Univ., Taiwan, JOHN P. BURKE, Department of Mathematics, Univ. of Houston,
and DANIEL B. DAVISON, Department of Biochemical and Biophysical Science,
Univ. of Houston
(9:45) Discussion
12. 8:15 a.m.-10:00 a.m. AC Conference RM 2
BIOSTATISTICS -Contributed Paper Session
Chair: CHENG-HSIANG LIN, Tunghai Univ., Taiwan
(8:15) Identifying Risk Factors under Informative Loss to Follow up, CHRISTIANA M. DRAKE and RICHARD LEVINE, Division of Statistics, Univ. of California at Davis
(8:35) Evaluation of Accuracies of Diagnostic Tests in the Presence of Verification Bias, XIAO-HUA ANDREW ZHOU, School of Medicine, Indiana Univ.
(8:55) An Optimal Sequential Design for Screening Trials, YOU-GAN WANG,
CSIRO Mathematical and Information Sciences, Australia, and DENIS HENG-YAN LEUNG, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, New York
(9:15) Maximum Likelihood Estimation with EM Algorithm in Cure Models,
YING HUANG, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, New York
(9:35) Discussion
13. 8:15 a.m-10:00 a.m. AC Conference RM 1
MONTE CARLO MARKOV CHAIN METHODS -CIPS and CSA Invited Paper Session
Organizer/Chair: TZUU-SHUH CHIANG, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(8:15) Inference on an Unknown Number of Unknowns: Change Point and Mixture
Estimation, PETER J. GREEN, Department of Mathematics, Univ. of Bristol, UK
(8:45) Histogram Monte Carlo Simulation Methods and Their Applications, CHIN-KUN HU, Institute of Physics, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(9:15) On the Convergence Rate of Some Monte Carlo Markov Chains, CHII-RUEY HWANG, Institute of Mathematics, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(9:55) Discussion
14. 8:15 a.m.-10:00 a.m. AC Conference RM 3
NONPARAMETRIC METHODS -Contributed Paper Session
Chair: CHIH-KANG CHU, National Tsing-Hua Univ., Taiwan
(8:15) Robust-Efficiency of Blocked Wilcoxon's Signed Rank Statistic for Randomized Blocks, JIIN-HUARNG GUO, Chinese Air Force Academy, Taiwan
(8:35) A Beta Kernel Smoother for Regression Curves, SONG X. CHEN, School of Statistical Science, La Trobe Univ., Australia
(8:55) Rank Estimating Equations for Partial Spline Model with Monotonicity, CHU-CHIH CHEN, Department of Mathematics, Tamkang Univ., Taiwan and FUSHING
HSIEH, Department of Mathematics, National Taiwan Univ., Taiwan
(9:15) Adaptive Orthogonal Series Estimation in Additive Stochastic Nonparametric Regression Models, JITI GAO, School of Mathematical Sciences, Queensland Univ. of Technology, Australia
(9:35) Discussion
15. 8:15 a.m.-10:00 a.m. ES 3rd Conference RM
RECENT ADVANCES ON MIS-MEASURED VARIABLES-IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer: HUNG CHEN, National Taiwan Univ., Taiwan
Chair: GWO DONG LIN, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(8:15) Goodness-of-Fit Tests For Logistic Regression Model with Misclassified Data, K. F. CHENG and H. M. HSUEH, Institute of Statistics, National Central Univ., Taiwan
(8:45) Measurement Errors in Generalized Linear Mixed Effect Models, NAISYIN WANG, XIHONG LIN, ROBERTO G. GUTIERREZ and RAYMOND J. CARROLL,
Department of Statistics, Texas A&M Univ.
(9:15) Incomplete Covariates Data in Generalized Linear Models, YI-HAU CHEN and HUNG CHEN, Graduate Institute of Epidemiology and Department of Mathematics, National Taiwan Univ., Taiwan
(9:45) Discussion
10:00 a.m.-10:30 a.m. TEA BREAK AC Lecture Hall
16. 10:30 a.m.-12:15 p.m. AC Conference RM 2
CLINICAL BIOSTATISTICS -Special Contributed Paper Session
Organizer: JEN-PEI LIU, National Cheng-Kung Univ., Taiwan
Chair: SHEIN-CHUNG CHOW, Covance Inc.
(10:30) Estimation of a Bivariate Survival Function for Successive Events, WEIJING WANG, Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taiwan and MARTIN T. WELLS, Department of Social Statistics, Cornell Univ.
(11:00) Interim Analysis on Continuous Repeated Measures in Growth Curve Model Setting, YI-HSIN CONNIE YANG, Graduate Institute of Oral Health Sciences, Kaohsiung Medical College, Taiwan, P. K. SEN and KEITH E. MULLER, Department of Biostatistics, Univ. of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
(11:30) Superiority or Equivalence Trials, JIMMY HWANG and RICHARD HAUBRICH, California collaborative Treatment Group, Department of Medicine and Pathology, Univ. of California at San Diego
(12:00) Discussion
17. 10:30 a.m.-12:15 p.m. AC Conference RM 1
ECONOMETRIC AND FINANCIAL APPLICATIONS -IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer: RUEY S. TSAY, Univ. of Chicago
Chair: HENRY J. LIN, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(10:30) Sequential Analysis and Option Pricing, FARID AITSHALIA, Hewlett --Packard Laboratories and TZE LEUNG LAI, Statistics Department, Stanford Univ.
(11:00) Testing the Validity of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross Type Interest Model and the Gaussianity of Japanese and US Interest Rates, TAKEAKE KARIYA, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi Univ., Japan and KENJI KAMIZONO, Columbia Univ.
(11:30) A Panel Analysis of Liquidity Constraints and Firm Investment, CHENG HSIAO and A. KAMIL TAHMISCIOGLU, Department of Economics, Univ. of
Southern California
(12:00) Discussion
18. 10:30 a.m.-12:15 p.m. ES 2nd FL Conference RM
INDUSTRIAL STATISTICS II -CIPS and CSA Invited Paper Session
Organizer: MIN-TE CHAO, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
Chair: TEA-YUAN HWANG, National Tsing-Hua Univ., Taiwan
(10:30) To Design Experiments with Restrictions, P. C. WANG, Institute of Statistics, National Central Univ., Taiwan
(11:00) Step-Stress Accelerated Degradation Analysis of LED Data, SHENG-TSAING TSENG and ZHI-CHIH WEN, Institute of Statistics, National Tsing-Hua Univ., Taiwan
(11:30) Max Chart: Combining X-bar Chart and S Chart, GEMAI CHEN, Statistics
Department, Univ. of Regina, and SMILEY W. CHENG, Statistics Department, Univ.
of Manitoba
(12:00) Discussion
19. 10:30 a.m.-12:15 p.m. ES 3rd FL Conference RM
METHODOLOGY IN SAMPLE SURVEYS -CIPS and CSA Invited Paper Session
Organizer: JOSEPH SEDRANSK, Case Western Reserve Univ.
Chair: CHANG-SHANG CHEN, Census Bureau, DGBAS, Executive Yuan, Taiwan
(10:30) Small Area Estimation: An Empirical Bayes Approach, PARTHA LAHIRI, SHU-MEI WAN and CHIEN HUA WU, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Univ. of Nebraska-Lincoln
(11:00) A Pseudo Empirical Likelihood Approach to the Effective Use of Auxiliary Information in Complex Surveys, J. CHEN, Univ. of Waterloo, Canada, and R. R. SITTER, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Simon Fraser Univ., Canada
(11:30) Hierarchical Bayes Methodology for Inference for Small Geographical
Areas or Subpopulations, DONALD MALEC, National Center for Health Statistics,
and J. SEDRANSK, Statistics Department, Case Western Reserve Univ.
(12:00) Discussion
20. 10:30 a.m.-12:15 p.m. AC Conference RM 3
REGRESSION METHODS AND APPLICATIONS -Contributed Paper Session
Chair: MIN-JYE WEN, National Cheng-Kung Univ., Taiwan
(10:30) Applying the Partial R-square Ratio to Search for the Best Subset Regression Model, BOR-WEN CHENG and CHERN-LIN CHEN, Department of Industrial
Engineering and Management, National Yunlin Institute of Technology, Taiwan
(10:50) Improvement on the Least Squares Estimator in the Non-Linear Regression
Models, LIE-JANE KAO, Department of Business Administration, Ming-Hsin Institute of Technology and Commerce, Taiwan
(11:10) Multiperiod Predictive Distribution for Repeated Measurement Model, SHU-ING LIU, Graduate Institute of Statistics, National Central Univ., Taiwan
(11:30) TBA
(11:50) Discussion
12:15 p.m.-1:45 p.m. LUNCH TIME AC Lecture Hall
1:10 p.m.-1:40 p.m. CIPS ASSEMBLY AC Conference RM 1
21. 1:45 p.m.-3:30 p.m. AC Conference RM 3
GENERAL METHODOLOGY I -Contributed Paper Session
Chair: SAMUEL C. KAO, National Chung-Cheng Univ., Taiwan
(1:45) Multiple Comparison Procedures with the Average for Normal Distributions, SHU-FEI WU, Department of Statistics, Tamkang Univ., Taiwan
(2:05) On the Analysis of Informative Censoring of Contingency Tables with Bayesian Methods, SHU-LIN HUNG, Department of Statistics, National Chengchi Univ., Taiwan, and THOMAS J. JIANG, Department of Mathematical Sciences, National Chengchi Univ., Taiwan
(2:25) Goodness of Fit Tests with Misclassified Data, K. F. CHENG, H. M. HSUEH and T. H. CHIEN, Institute of Statistics, National Central Univ., Taiwan
(2:45) Multinomial Estimation Procedures under Order Restrictions, CHU-IN C. LEE, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Memorial Univ. of Newfoundland, Canada, and XIAOSONG YAN, Univ. of New Brunswick, Canada
(3:05) Discussion
22. 1:45 p.m.-3:30 p.m. ES 3rd FL Conference RM
ERRORS-IN-VARIABLES MODEL -CIPS and CSA Invited Paper Session
Organizer/Chair: CHI-LUN CHENG, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(1:45) Inferences for the Linear Errors-in-Variables With Change-Point Models, YI-PING CHANG, Department of Business Mathematics, Soochow Univ., Taiwan, WEN-TAO HUANG, Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(2:15) Linear Transformation Models for Survival Data with Covariate Measurement Error, S. C. CHENG, Department of Biomathematics, Univ. of Texas, M. D. Anderson Cancer Center, and NAISYIN WANG, Department of Statistics, Texas A&M Univ.
(2:45) An Asmptotically Honest Prediction Set in the Multivariate Regression Model When the Response Measured with Error, LONGCHEEN HUWANG, Institute of Statistics, National Tsing-Hua Univ., Taiwan
(3:15) Discussion
23. 1:45 p.m.-3:30 p.m. ES 2nd FL Conference RM
ESTIMATING EQUATION AND LIKELIHOOD APPROACHES TO INFERENCE -IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer: BING LI, Pennsylvania State Univ.
Chair: I-SHOU CHANG, National Central Univ., Taiwan
(1:45) Avoiding the Bartlett Identities, PER MYKLAND, Department of Statistics, Univ. of Chicago
(2:15) Generalized Additive Mixed Models, XIHONG LIN, Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Univ. of Michigan
(2:45) On Nonlinear Parameters of Linear Estimating Equations, BING LI, Department of Statistics, Pennsylvania State Univ.
(3:15) Discussion
24. 1:45 p.m.-3:30 p.m. AC Conference RM 1
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN TIME SERIES ANALYSIS -IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer: RUEY S. TSAY, Univ. of Chicago
Chair: GEORGE C. TIAO, Univ. of Chicago
(1:45) On Estimation and Prediction for Temporally Correlated Longitudinal Data, JACK C. LEE and R. C. HWANG, Institute of Statistics, Chiao Tung Univ., Taiwan, Institute of Statistics, Chiao Tung Univ., Taiwan
(2:15) Monte Carlo Filter and Its Application to Stochastic Volatility Models, GENSHIRO KITAGAWA and SEISHO SATO, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Japan
(2:45) New Developments in the Statistical Study of Chaotic Dynamical Systems,
DOMINIQUE M. GUEGAN, ENSAE, France
(3:15) Discussion
25. 1:45 p.m.-3:30 p.m. AC Conference RM 2
STATISTICAL METHODS UNDER HETEROGENEOUS POPULATIONS -Special Contributed Paper Session
Organizer: HUBERT J. CHEN, Department of Statistics, Univ. of Georgia
Chair: WEI-HOU CHENG HU, Tamkang Univ., Taiwan
(1:45) One-Stage Analysis of Variance and Range Test for 2-Way Model under Heteroscedasticity, SHUN-YI CHEN, Department of Mathematics, Tamkang Univ., Taiwan
(2:15) Two-Stage Range Test of the Equality of Means under Heteroscedasticity,
SHUN-YI CHEN and HUEY-FANG CHANG, Department of Mathematics, Tamkang
Univ., Taiwan
(2:45) Statistical Inference for Linear Contrasts of Means under Heteroscedasticity for Identifying the Minimum Effective Dose, HUBERT J. CHEN and SHAOYI LI, Department of Statistics, Univ. of Georgia
(3:15) Discussion
3:30 p.m.-4:00 p.m. TEA BREAK AC Lecture Hall
26. 4:00 p.m.-5:45 p.m. AC Conference RM 3
BAYESIAN STATISTICS -CIPS and CSA Invited Paper Session
Organizer: JACK C. LEE, National Chiao Tung Univ., Taiwan
Chair: SHU-ING LIU, National Central Univ., Taiwan
(4:00) Bayesian Estimation of HIV Infection and Incubation via Backcalculation Method, WAI-YUAN TAN and ZHIHUA XIANG, Department of Mathematical Sciences, The Univ. of Memphis
(4:30) Bayesian Semiparametric Inference for the Accelerated Failure Time Model, LYNN KUO and BANI MALLICK, Statistics Department, Univ. of Connecticut
(5:00) Bayesian Diagnostics Aanalysis for the Growth Curve Models, JIAN-XIN PAN, Rothamsted Experimental Station, UK
(5:30) Discussion
27. 4:00 p.m.-5:45 p.m. AC Conference RM 2
EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN -Contributed Paper Session
Chair: FENG-SHUN CHAI, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(4:00) Multiple Comparisons Procedures in BIBD for the Spherically Correlated
Data, HONG-LONG WANG, Graduate Institute of Statistics, National Chung Hsing
Univ., Taiwan
(4:20) To Incorrect Classical Design of Experiments, ANATOLY NAUMOV, Department of Economical Information, Novosibirsk State Technical Univ., Russia
(4:40) A Two-Stage Strategy for the Construction of D-optimal Experimental Designs, GRACE M. MONTEPIEDRA and ARTHUR B. YEH, Department of Applied Statistics and Operations Research, Bowling Green State Univ., Bowling Green
(5:00) TBA
(5:20) Discussion
28. 4:00 p.m.-5:45 p.m. ES 2nd FL Conference RM
GENERALIZED LINEAR MODELS -IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer/Chair: CHEN-HSIN CHEN, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(4:00) Sequential Estimation Problems in Computerized Adaptive Test, YUAN-CHIN I. CHANG, Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taiwan and ZHILIANG YING, Department of Statistics, Rutgers Univ.
(4:30) Multivariate Generalized Linear Models, FU-CHANG HU and HSIAO-PIN LIU, Division of Biostatistics, Graduate Institute of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, National Taiwan Univ., Taiwan
(5:00) Confounding in Regression Models for Longitudinal Data: An Estimating Equation Approach, WEI-HSIUNG CHAO, Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(5:30) Discussion
29. 4:00 p.m.-5:45 p.m. AC Conference RM 1
SPATIAL AND ENVIRONMENTAL STATISTICS -IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer: RUEY S. TSAY, Univ. of Chicago
Chair: JACK C. LEE, National Chiao Tung Univ. Taiwan
(4:00) Modeling Latitudinal Correlations for Satellite Data, GEORGE C. TIAO,
Graduate School of Business, Univ. of Chicago, and DONGSEOK CHOI, Department of Statistics, Univ. of Chicago
(4:30) Estimating the Number of Common Species of Two River Estuaries in Taiwan, ANNE CHAO, National Tsing-Hua Univ., Taiwan
(5:00) Improving Climate Prediction Using Seasonal Space-Time Models, XU-FENG NIU, IAN W. MCKEAGUE and JAMES B. ELSNER, Department of Statistics,
Florida State Univ.
(5:30) Discussion
30. 4:00 p.m.-5:45 p.m. ES 3rd FL Conference RM
STATISTICAL COMPUTING -Contributed Paper Session
Chair: WEI-HSIUNG SHEN, Tunghai Univ., Taiwan
(4:00) On the Computation of the Noncentral F Distribution Using S-system, Y. C. CHOU, Institute of Management Science, National Chiao Tung Univ., Taiwan, and Z. Y. CHEN, Department of Mathematics, National Chung-Cheng Univ., Taiwan
(4:20) Using Genetic Algorithms to Calibrate Item Response Theory (IRT) Model,
HSIN-HUNG LI and ZHENG-GAN LIN, Department of Mathematics, National Changhua Univ. of Education, Taiwan
(4:40) Computer-Aided Statistical Data Gathering, Editing, Debuging, Analysis and Tabulation, BEN-CHANG SHIA, Department of Statistics, Fu-Jen Univ., Taiwan
(5:00) The Convergence of Two-Stage Learning for Neural Networks With A Single Hidden Layer, YACHEN LIN, SCB Computer Technology Inc., and CHUNG CHEN,
The School of Management, Syracuse Univ.
(5:20) Discussion
7:00 p.m. BANQUET
Hosted by Dr. DUAN WEI, Director-General, Directorate-General of
Budget, Accounting and Statistics, Executive Yuan
Wednesday, July 9
31. 8:15 a.m-10:00 a.m. AC Conference RM 2
DESIGN OF EXPERIMENTS -IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer/Chair: CHING-SHUI CHENG, Univ. of California at Berkeley
(8:15) Optimum Dosage Allocation in Multiple-Objective Quantal Dose Response
Experiments, WEI ZHU, SUNY at Stony Brook, and WENG KEE WONG, Department of Biostatistics, Univ. of California at Los Angeles
(8:45) Optimal Designs for Cubic Regression without Intercept, FU-CHUEN CHANG
and JEHNG-HER JU, Department of Applied Mathematics, National Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Taiwan
(9:15) Regular Fractional Factorial Designs with Minimum Aberration and Maximum Estimation Capacity, CHING-SHUI CHENG, Department of Statistics, Univ. of California at Berkeley and RAHUL MUKERJEE, Indian Institute of Management
(9:45) Discussion
32. 8:15 a.m.-10:00 a.m. AC Conference RM 3
GENERAL METHODOLOGY II -Contributed Paper Session
Chair: LII-YUH LEU, National Central Univ., Taiwan
(8:15) Bootstrapping the Order Selection Test, CHIEN-FENG CHEN, Statistics Department, Texas A&M Univ.
(8:35) Convergence Rates and Stabilization, HSHI-CHIA HSIEH, Department of International Trade, Providence Univ., Taiwan
(8:55) Uniformly More Powerful Tests When the Covariance Matrix Has an Unknown Scale Factor, HUIMEI LIU, Department of Statistics, National Chung Hsing Univ., Taiwan
(9:15) On Nearest Neighbor Inverse Regression, TAILEN HSING, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, USA and National Univ. of Singapore, Singapore
(9:35) Discussion
33. 8:15 a.m.-10:00 a.m. ES 3rd FL Conference RM
INFERENCE FOR SEMIPARAMETRIC MODELS -IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer/Chair: MARK VAN DER LAAN, Univ. of California at Berkeley
(8:15) Profile Likelihood Inference in Semiparametric Models, S. A. MURPHY,
Department of Statistics, Pennsylvania State Univ., and A. W. VAN DER VAART,
the Faculty of Mathematics and Computer Science, Free Univ., The Netherlands
(8:45) Locally Efficient Estimation in Censored Data Models, MARK J. VAN DER LAAN, Division of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Univ. of California at Berkeley, JAMES M. ROBINS, Harvard Univ., and RICHARD D. GILL, Utrecht
Univ., the Netherlands
(9:15) Semiparametric Inference in the Presence of Non-Ignorable Non-Response,
DANIEL O. SCHARFSTEIN, JAMES M. ROBINS and ANDREA ROTNITZKY, Department Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health
(9:45) Discussion
34. 8:15 a.m.-10:00 a.m. AC Conference RM 1
STATISTICAL ANALYLSIS OF CHINESE MEDICINE -CIPS and CSA Invited Paper Session
Organizer/Chair: DENG-YUAN HUANG, Fu-Jen Catholic Univ., Taiwan
(8:15) The Statistical Analysis of the Allergic Rhinitis Patients' Physical Constitution Patterns and Evalutation of the Effects of Chinese Herbs, HUOY-CHANG YEH, Institute of Chinese Medical Science, Chinese Medical College, Taiwan, SHEN-MING LEE, NAE-SHENG WANG, and JUEI-CHAO CHEN, Department of Statistics,
Feng Chia Univ., Taiwan, and LIH-HUEY HWANG, Department of International Business, The Oversea Chinese College of Commerce, Taiwan
(8:45) The Evaluation of the Therapeutic Effect of the Chinese Medicine on the Pressure Sore Inpatients, YAO-CHIN HSU, HEN-HONG CHANG, Department of Chinese Medicine, China Medical College Hospital, and NAE-SHENG WANG, Department of Statistics, Feng Chia Univ., Taiwan
(9:15) The Therapeutic Effects of Transforming Blood Stasis on Connective
Tissue Disease Complicated with Interstitial Lung Disease, HEN-HONG CHANG,
Institute of Chinese Medical Science, China Medical College, JUEI-CHAO CHEN,
Department of Statistics, Fengchia Univ., Taiwan
(9:45) Discussion
10:00 a.m.-10:30 a.m. TEA BREAK AC Lecture Hall
35. 10:30 a.m.-12:15 a.m. AC Conference RM 3
APPLIED PROBABILITY -Contributed Paper Session
Chair: HWAI-CHUNG HO, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(10:30) Some Topics in Wavelet Shrinkage, KUO-CHIN LIN, Department of Accounting and Statistics, Tainan College of Home and Economic, Taiwan
(10:50) Positivity Preserving Forms Have the Fatou Property, BYRON SCHMULAND, Department of Mathematical Sciences, Univ. of Alberta, Canada
(11:10) Efficient Estimation of Non-linear and Non-Gaussian State Space Models, DAWEI HUANG, School of Mathematics, Queesland Univ. of Technology, Australia
(11:30) Density Deconvolution for Contaminated Stochastic Processes, CHRISTIAN H. HESSE, Mathematics Institute, Univ. of Stuttgart, Germany
(11:50) Discussion
36. 10:30 a.m.-12:15 a.m. ES 2nd FL Conference RM
DIMENSION REDUCTION METHODS -IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer/Chair: KER-CHAU LI, Univ. of California at Los Angeles
(10:30) On Foundations of Regression Graphics, R. DENNIS COOK, Department of
Applied Statistics, Univ. of Minnesota, FRANCESCA CHIAROMONTE, International
Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Austria
(11:00) Identification of Subject-Clusters and Variable-Groups in a Longitudinal Data Profile via Data Visualization, CHUN-HOUH CHEN, Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(11:30) Dimension Reduction in Regression Analysis, WING HUNG WONG, Interdivisional Program in Statistics, Univ. of California at Los Angeles, and XIAOTONG SHEN, Statistics Department, The Ohio State Univ.
(12:00) Discussion
37. 10:30 a.m.-12:15 a.m. AC Conference RM 2
INFERENCE FOR SURVIVAL DATA -IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer/Chair: SHAW-HWA LO, Columbia Univ.
(10:30) Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Models in Survival Analysis with Intermediate State, I-SHOU CHANG, National Central Univ., CHAO A. HSIUNG and YUAN-CHUAN CHUANG, Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(11:00) The Asymptotic Theory of the Product-Limit Estimator with Censored Data, KANI CHEN, Mathematics Department, Hong Kong Univ. of Science and Technology
(11:30) Testing Linear Hypotheses In Censored Linear Regression, W. STUTE,
Mathematical Institute, Univ. of Giessen, Germany
(12:00) Discussion
38. 10:30 a.m.-12:15 a.m. ES 3rd FL Conference RM
STATISTICS IN SOCIAL SCIENCE -IMS Invited Paper Session
Organizer: KEN WACHTER, Univ. of California at Berkeley
Chair: KUANJENG CHEN, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(10:30) Modeling Sibling Life-Course Strategies, MAXINE WEINSTEIN, Statistics Department, Georgetown Univ. and Princeton Univ., and MING-CHENG CHANG, Taiwan Provincial Institute of Family Planning
(11:00) Markovian Models of Family Dynamics: Theory and Estimation, CYRUS C. Y. CHU and ROGER P. C. CHENG, Department of Economics, National Taiwan Univ., Taiwan
(11:30) Stochastic Forecasting of Numbers of Kin, KENNETH W. WACHTER,
Department of Statistics, Univ. of California at Berkeley
(12:00) Discussion
39. 10:30 a.m.-12:15 a.m. AC Conference RM 1
TIME SERIES ANALYSIS -Contributed Paper Session
Chair: MEI-HUI GUO, National Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Taiwan
(10:30) Model Selection Bases on Multi-Step Ahead Prediction in Autoregressive
Processes, CHIN-KUNG YIN, Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica, Taiwan
(10:50) An Analysis of Business Cycle Indicators in Taiwan with Bivariate Markov Switching Models, JIN-LUNG LIN, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, and SHYH-WEI CHEN, Department of Economics, National Cheng-Chi Univ., Taiwan
(11:10) Nonparametric and Nonlinear Models and Data Mining in Time Series:
The Case of LYNX Data, T. C. LIN, Department of MBA, Nan-Jeon Junior College of Technology & Commerce, Tainan, M. POURAHMADI, Northern Illinois Univ.
(11:30) Direct Estimation in Additive Models for Time Series, ZONGWU CAI, Department of Mathematics, Southwest Missouri State Univ., JIANQING FAN, Department of Statistics, Univ. of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
(11:50) Discussion
12:15 p.m.-1:45 p.m. LUNCH TIME AC Lecture Hall
2:00 p.m. FREE TOUR