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Statistica Sinica 4(1994), 71-87


PROBABILISTIC PROPERTIES OF THE β-ARCH MODEL


Dominique Guégan and Jean Diebolt


Université Paris XIII and Université Paris VI


Abstract: In the present paper we consider the main probabilistic properties of the Markov chain Xt=aXt-1+[a0+(a1 +(Xt-1)++a1-(Xt-1) -)]1/2εt , that we call the β-ARCH model. We examine the inevitability, irreducibility, Harris recurrence, ergodicity, geometric ergodicity, α-mixing, existence and nonexistence of finite moments and exponential moments of some order and sharp upper bounds for the tails of the stationary density of the process {Xt} in terms of the common density of the εt's.



Key words and phrases: Markov chain, invertibility, ergodicity, mixing, tail of the stationary density, ARCH model, nonlinear time series, autoregressive.



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