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Statistica Sinica 25 (2015), 115-133

EXPLORING A NEW CLASS OF NON-STATIONARY
SPATIAL GAUSSIAN RANDOM FIELDS WITH
VARYING LOCAL ANISOTROPY
Geir-Arne Fuglstad1, Finn Lindgren2, Daniel Simpson1 and Håvard Rue1
1NTNU and 2University of Bath

Abstract: Gaussian random fields (GRFs) play an important part in spatial modelling, but can be computationally infeasible for general covariance structures. An efficient approach is to specify GRFs via stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) and derive Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) approximations of the solutions. We consider the construction of a class of non-stationary GRFs with varying local anisotropy, where the local anisotropy is introduced by allowing the coefficients in the SPDE to vary with position. This is done by using a form of diffusion equation driven by Gaussian white noise with a spatially varying diffusion matrix. This allows for the introduction of parameters that control the GRF by parametrizing the diffusion matrix. These parameters and the GRF may be considered to be part of a hierarchical model and the parameters estimated in a Bayesian framework. The results show that the use of an SPDE with non-constant coefficients is a promising way of creating non-stationary spatial GMRFs that allow for physical interpretability of the parameters, although there are several remaining challenges that would need to be solved before these models can be put to general practical use.

Key words and phrases: Anisotropy, Bayesian, Gaussian random fields, Gaussian Markov random fields, non-stationary, spatial.

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