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Statistica Sinica 12(2002), 1027-1041



COMPUTATIONAL METHODS FOR EVALUATING

SEQUENTIAL TESTS AND POST-TEST ESTIMATION
VIA THE SUFFICIENCY PRINCIPLE


Xiaoping Xiong, Ming Tan and Michael H. Kutner


St. Jude Children's Research Hospital, University of Maryland and Emory Univeristy


Abstract: By the sufficiency principle, the probability density of a sequential test statistic under certain conditions can be factored into a known function that does not depend on the stopping rule and a conditional probability that is free of unknown parameters. We develop general theorems and propose a unified approach to analyzing and evaluating various properties of sequential tests and post-test estimation. The proposed approach is of practical value since it allows for effective evaluation of properties of special interest, such as the bias-adjustment of post-test estimation after a sequential test, and the probability of discordance between a sequential test and a nonsequential test.



Key words and phrases: Bias-adjusted estimation, eigenvalue function, probability of discordance, sequential clinical trial.



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