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Statistica Sinica 17(2007), 463-480





MAXIMIN AND BAYESIAN OPTIMAL DESIGNS

FOR REGRESSION MODELS


Holger Dette, Linda M. Haines and Lorens A. Imhof


Ruhr-Universität, University of Cape Town and Bonn University


Abstract: For many problems of statistical inference in regression modelling, the Fisher information matrix depends on certain nuisance parameters which are unknown and which enter the model nonlinearly. A common strategy to deal with this problem is to construct maximin optimal designs, that maximize the minimum value of a real-valued (standardized) function of the Fisher information matrix, where the minimum is taken over a specified range of the unknown parameters. The maximin criterion is not differentiable and the construction of the associated optimal designs is therefore difficult to achieve in practice. In the present paper the relationship between maximin optimal designs and a class of Bayesian optimal designs for which the associated criteria are differentiable is explored. In particular, a general methodology for determining maximin optimal designs is introduced based on the fact that in many cases these designs can be obtained as weak limits of appropriate Bayesian optimal designs.



Key words and phrases: Bayesian optimal designs, least favourable prior, maximin optimal designs, nonlinear regression models, parameter estimation.

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